Cotton may climb to the highest price since 1995 as increasing demand in growing markets for from shirts to bed sheets forces textile manufacturers to restock inventories that are the tightest in 13 years. Export sales by the U.S., the biggest shipper, are off to their quickest start since 1993 as clothing demand in China, the biggest consumer increased 24 percent, government data show.
The item is projected to extend its increases because demand keeps growing in Asia’s developing nations, as indicators emerge that the U even.S. As the rally is enriching some cotton investors, it’s also increasing costs for Levi Strauss & Co. and Hanesbrands Inc., the manufacturer of Hanes underwear and the Wonderbra.
The last time natural cotton exchanged above 90 cents a pound, in 2008, some merchants including Paul Reinhart Inc. were pressured into bankruptcy. “Global intake is exploding,” said Ron Lawson, a managing director at Logic Advisors, an item advisor in Sonoma, California. For Dec delivery on ICE Futures U Natural cotton.S. Production by the world’s natural cotton farmers will fail to match demand for a fifth direct 12 months, according to the U.S.
Department of Agriculture. That’s eroded inventories that retailers were reluctant to expand in the past two years. U.S. stockpiles totaled 3.1 million bales at the end of the marketing year on July 31, the cheapest level since 1996, USDA data show. Supplies in warehouses monitored by ICE have plummeted 98 percent because the final end of May to 25,504 bales by Aug. 12. A bale weighs about 480 pounds (218 kilograms).
Worldwide stockpiles will drop 4.1 percent to 45.61 million bales, or about 38 percent of demand, the lowest proportion since 1994, data from the USDA show. “During the recession, everyone got rid of inventories,” Logic Advisors’ Lawson said. “Yarns, woven goods, textiles, clothing, you name it. Stockpiles are slipping as emerging-market economies increase at more than double the speed of the U.S. India’s Arvind Ltd., the world’s biggest maker of denim and a supplier to U.S. 855 million) in the year to March.
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“I see memories for textiles in India,” Sanjay Lalbhai, a managing director at Ahmedabad-based Arvind, said on Aug. 12. “The center class keeps growing. They have started spending more income on grooming better and on closet. Mill use in India, the world’s second-largest cotton consumer, increase about 8.the 12 months closing Sept 9 percent in.
30 to 20.7 million bales, the Cotton Advisory Board said on July 30 in Mumbai. An Indian bale weighs 170 kilograms. Total demand shall rise 26 percent to 33.3 million, it said. Cotton prices may remain “historically high” until at least the U.S. Landslides and Floods in the past 8 weeks have demolished crops in China, which expands almost a third of the world’s natural cotton.